Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 4.633893 5.272197 5.974731 6.806691 7.766788 8.842043 10.140395
2025-04-20 3.849702 4.698629 5.706920 6.997989 8.614690 10.581866 13.171497
2025-04-27 3.354973 4.310646 5.511125 7.140363 9.309963 12.122160 16.079700
2025-05-04 3.049812 4.086806 5.450833 7.393601 10.117478 13.841909 19.390863
2025-05-11 2.671792 3.706085 5.119229 7.214379 10.281418 14.668572 21.530443
2025-05-18 2.394853 3.425201 4.881313 7.119136 10.524883 15.600036 23.898853
2025-05-25 2.171220 3.192148 4.679634 7.041533 10.766134 16.529344 26.349642
2025-06-01 1.971622 2.971860 4.470073 6.920876 10.913629 17.309947 28.634019
2025-06-08 1.793905 2.766315 4.260242 6.771963 10.989233 17.967019 30.771215
2025-06-15 1.731738 2.733795 4.314047 7.047483 11.783429 19.888925 35.334745
2025-06-22 1.634015 2.634396 4.249562 7.116105 12.226413 21.246946 39.043351
2025-06-29 1.525025 2.506481 4.125651 7.068101 12.453991 22.237755 42.176172
2025-07-06 1.418863 2.376237 3.989356 6.989720 12.626397 23.160993 45.334448
2025-07-13 1.369729 2.339578 4.010329 7.194983 13.345053 25.192148 51.005451
2025-07-20 1.315557 2.289106 4.001669 7.342704 13.966209 27.099671 56.683303
2025-07-27 1.282038 2.272432 4.051431 7.603913 14.835247 29.600043 64.003915
2025-08-03 1.190195 2.141709 3.880312 7.419135 14.781144 30.181128 67.089542
2025-08-10 1.117790 2.041716 3.758780 7.320940 14.894433 31.126322 71.148339
2025-08-17 1.053766 1.952822 3.651357 7.240933 15.036426 32.146431 75.528674
2025-08-24 0.989813 1.859439 3.528018 7.116543 15.068187 32.920661 79.410822
2025-08-31 0.927756 1.765434 3.396462 6.963031 15.019041 33.501743 82.883966
2025-09-07 0.916608 1.771568 3.466080 7.247067 15.989381 36.585180 93.376876
2025-09-14 0.884155 1.732295 3.439701 7.317816 16.471838 38.550440 101.167687